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⌛ Decrease soft bound #677

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merged 6 commits into from
Feb 26, 2024
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@eduherminio eduherminio commented Feb 21, 2024

Coming from #668, where 1/75 -> 1/40

1/40 -> 1/50 with 0.5 as hard

Test  | time-management/decrease-soft-bound
Elo   | 5.37 +- 3.80 (95%)
SPRT  | 40.0+0.40s Threads=1 Hash=128MB
LLR   | 2.89 (-2.25, 2.89) [0.00, 3.00]
Games | N: 18506 W: 5481 L: 5195 D: 7830
Penta | [513, 2110, 3816, 2206, 608]
https://openbench.lynx-chess.com/test/189/

Weirdly, 1/50 -> 1/40 with 0.5 as hard isn't going bad either

Score of Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2682-win-x64 vs Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2682-win-x64 - base: 4272 - 4129 - 6249  [0.505] 14650
...      Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2682-win-x64 playing White: 3177 - 1067 - 3081  [0.644] 7325
...      Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2682-win-x64 playing Black: 1095 - 3062 - 3168  [0.366] 7325
...      White vs Black: 6239 - 2162 - 6249  [0.639] 14650
Elo difference: 3.4 +/- 4.3, LOS: 94.1 %, DrawRatio: 42.7 %
SPRT: llr 1.2 (41.5%), lbound -2.25, ubound 2.89

1/40 -> 1/50 but with 0.25 as hard

8+0.08
Score of Lynx-time-management-increase-hard-bound-2-2674-win-x64 vs Lynx-time-management-increase-hard-bound-2-2674-win-x64 - Base: 4506 - 4279 - 5546  [0.508] 14331
...      Lynx-time-management-increase-hard-bound-2-2674-win-x64 playing White: 3100 - 1317 - 2749  [0.624] 7166
...      Lynx-time-management-increase-hard-bound-2-2674-win-x64 playing Black: 1406 - 2962 - 2797  [0.391] 7165
...      White vs Black: 6062 - 2723 - 5546  [0.616] 14331
Elo difference: 5.5 +/- 4.4, LOS: 99.2 %, DrawRatio: 38.7 %
SPRT: llr 2.91 (100.6%), lbound -2.25, ubound 2.89 - H1 was accepted

40+0.4
Test  | time-management/decrease-soft-bound
Elo   | 6.20 +- 4.16 (95%)
SPRT  | 40.0+0.40s Threads=1 Hash=128MB
LLR   | 2.90 (-2.25, 2.89) [0.00, 3.00]
Games | N: 15122 W: 4416 L: 4146 D: 6560
Penta | [392, 1662, 3234, 1830, 443]
https://openbench.lynx-chess.com/test/184/

1/50 -> 1/60

Test  | time-management/decrease-soft-bound
Elo   | -1.96 +- 6.46 (95%)
SPRT  | 40.0+0.40s Threads=1 Hash=128MB
LLR   | -1.41 (-2.25, 2.89) [0.00, 5.00]
Games | N: 6378 W: 1816 L: 1852 D: 2710
Penta | [197, 745, 1335, 721, 191]
https://openbench.lynx-chess.com/test/187/
1/50 -> 1/60 tests that went wrongI did something wrong with 8+0.08 Score of Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 vs Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 - Base: 1270 - 1335 - 1671 [0.492] 4276 ... Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 playing White: 868 - 404 - 866 [0.609] 2138 ... Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 playing Black: 402 - 931 - 805 [0.376] 2138 ... White vs Black: 1799 - 806 - 1671 [0.616] 4276 Elo difference: -5.3 +/- 8.1, LOS: 10.1 %, DrawRatio: 39.1 % SPRT: llr -2.26 (-78.3%), lbound -2.25, ubound 2.89 - H0 was accepted 8+0.08 again Score of Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 vs Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 - Base: 2265 - 2309 - 2814 [0.497] 7388 ... Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 playing White: 1578 - 709 - 1406 [0.618] 3693 ... Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 playing Black: 687 - 1600 - 1408 [0.376] 3695 ... White vs Black: 3178 - 1396 - 2814 [0.621] 7388 Elo difference: -2.1 +/- 6.2, LOS: 25.8 %, DrawRatio: 38.1 % SPRT: llr -2.26 (-78.1%), lbound -2.25, ubound 2.89 - H0 was accepted 40+0.4 Score of Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 vs Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 - base: 1212 - 1000 - 1578 [0.528] 3790 ... Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 playing White: 890 - 250 - 756 [0.669] 1896 ... Lynx-time-management-decrease-soft-bound-2681-win-x64 playing Black: 322 - 750 - 822 [0.387] 1894 ... White vs Black: 1640 - 572 - 1578 [0.641] 3790 Elo difference: 19.5 +/- 8.4, LOS: 100.0 %, DrawRatio: 41.6 % SPRT: llr 2.9 (100.4%), lbound -2.25, ubound 2.89 - H1 was accepted

@eduherminio eduherminio marked this pull request as ready for review February 26, 2024 12:55
@eduherminio eduherminio merged commit 3a36c25 into main Feb 26, 2024
27 checks passed
@eduherminio eduherminio deleted the time-management/decrease-soft-bound branch February 26, 2024 12:56
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