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<!DOCTYPE HTML>
<!--
Paradigm Shift by HTML5 UP
html5up.net | @ajlkn
Free for personal and commercial use under the CCA 3.0 license (html5up.net/license)
-->
<html>
<head>
<title>DeepBake Season 10</title>
<meta charset="utf-8" />
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1, user-scalable=no" />
<meta name="description" content="DeepBake Predictions" />
<meta name="keywords" content="deepbake" />
<link rel="stylesheet" href="assets/css/main.css" />
</head>
<body class="is-preload">
<!-- Wrapper -->
<div id="wrapper">
<!-- Header -->
<section class="intro">
<header>
<h1>DeepBake Season 10</h1>
<p>
Retrospective analysis of Season 10 predictions
</p>
<ul class="actions">
<li><a href="#first" class="arrow scrolly"><span class="label">Next</span></a></li>
</ul>
</header>
<div class="content">
<span class="image fill" data-position="center"><img src="fig/background1.jpg" alt="" /></span>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Winner -->
<section id='Winner'>
<header>
<a name="winner"></a>
<h2>Winner</h2>
</header>
<div class="content">
<p>
DeepBake determined each baker’s chance of placing in five different categories.<br>
The legend has the bakers in order of their final placings.<br>
The 'Winner' category is reserved for the baker that wins GBBO. DeepBake called David as the winner at the quarter final.
</p>
<span class="image fit">
<img src="fig/s10_winner_prob.png" alt="GBBO Season 10 Winner"/>
</span>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Finalist -->
<section id='Finalist'>
<header>
<a name="finalist"></a>
<h2>Finalist</h2>
</header>
<div class="content">
<p>
DeepBake scored bakers individually, allowing for confident predictions for more than one baker. This is why there are more than three bakers with scores >50%. Note the sum of the probability scores for individual bakers is 100%.<br>
The three finalists were given higher scores early in the season which peaked at the quarter final.
</p>
<span class="image fit">
<img src="fig/s10_finalist_prob.png" alt="GBBO Season 10 Finalist"/>
</span>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Week9-8 -->
<section id='Week9-8'>
<header>
<a name="week9-8"></a>
<h2>Semi-Finalist & Quarter Finalist</h2>
</header>
<div class="content">
<p>
Weeks 9 and 8 are the semi-final and quarter final respectively.DeepBake did not calculate strong scores for Week9-8 until the quarter final.<br>
Note, predictions are made before elimination. Right after the Star Baker is announced, we pause the telly, input the new data for that week, and fire up the neural networks to see who might leave the tent for the episode.<br>
With this in mind, DeepBake correctly predicted week 8 outcomes.<br>
</p>
<span class="image fit">
<img src="fig/s10_third_fourth_prob.png" alt="GBBO Season 10 Semi and Quarter Finalists"/>
</span>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Week7-5 -->
<section id='Week7-5'>
<header>
<a name="week7-5"></a>
<h2>Weeks 7 through 5</h2>
</header>
<div class="content">
<p>
Bakers who leave at weeks 5 through 7 were harder for DeepBake to identify.<br>
But predictions were more accurate for the bakers who left the tent during those episodes. <br>
</p>
<span class="image fit">
<img src="fig/s10_fifth_seventh_prob.png" alt="GBBO Season 10 Weeks 7 thru 5"/>
</span>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Week4-1 -->
<section id='Week4-1'>
<header>
<a name="week4-1"></a>
<h2>Weeks 4 through 1</h2>
</header>
<div class="content">
<p>
Not perfect but better than weeks 7-5, DeepBake predicted the bakers who left the tent in the first weeks of competition and maintained higher scores throughout the season.
</p>
<span class="image fit">
<img src="fig/s10_eighth_below_prob.png" alt="GBBO Season 10 Weeks 7 thru 5"/>
</span>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Footer -->
<section>
<footer>
<li>
<ul class="icons">
<li><a href="index.html" class="icon solid fa-home"><span class="label">Home</span></a></li>
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<div class="copyright">© Untitled. All rights reserved. Design: <a href="https://html5up.net">HTML5 UP</a>.</div>
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</body>
</html>